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Israel’s response to Iran will be ‘robust, painful’ | Avi Melamed’s insights quoted by Ryan Robertson for STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS
“The Iranians shot the 200 ballistic missiles or whatever, and they killed one poor Palestinian who, by the way, was killed in the most horrifying way,” Avi Melamed, a former Israeli intelligence officer and negotiator, said. “The missile just straight fell on him when he was walking on the street.”
Melamed is also an author who wrote extensively about the pending conflict between Iran and Israel.
“Most of the victims of the Iranian missiles that were shot, are Iranians. There have been reports that five IRGC personnel were killed and 12 injured when one of the missiles exploded during the launch,” Melamed said. “The whole purpose of this attack, to a large extent, is that the mullah regime desperately needs to restore its crumbling image and send a message that it is standing and supporting its proxies while they are being crushed.”
Iran’s ballistic missile attack was one of the largest, most complex, and involved more advanced weaponry than almost any the Mullah Regime has ever launched against Israel. More than 180 intercontinental ballistic missiles were deployed.
Evidence collected so far points to Iran using its Fattah-1 and Kheybarshekan missiles in the strike.
There is damage on the ground, but with the help of several U.S. Navy Arleigh-Burke class destroyers, Israel’s air defense systems held.
“The Iranians shot the 200 ballistic missiles or whatever, and they killed one poor Palestinian who, by the way, was killed in the most horrifying way,” Avi Melamed, a former Israeli intelligence officer and negotiator, said. “The missile just straight fell on him when he was walking on the street.”
Melamed is also an author who wrote extensively about the pending conflict between Iran and Israel.
“Most of the victims of the Iranian missiles that were shot, are Iranians. There have been reports that five IRGC personnel were killed and 12 injured when one of the missiles exploded during the launch,” Melamed said. “The whole purpose of this attack, to a large extent, is that the mullah regime desperately needs to restore its crumbling image and send a message that it is standing and supporting its proxies while they are being crushed.”
In the last few months, Israel decimated Hezbollah’s command structure and officer corps, culminating in a strike that took out Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s leader, in Beirut.
As Iran’s most beloved and well-armed proxy, the strikes against Hezbollah could not go unanswered.
And while he previously held out hope de-escalation was still possible, Melamed said in the wake of Iran’s latest ICBM attacks, it is not likely.
“I do estimate that Israel will attack Iran,” Melamed said during a virtual interview on the morning of Oct. 2. “I think that the Israeli attack on Iran will be clearly significant, and it will be coordinated with the United States because we all understand that following something like that, you can’t just sit as if nothing happened.”
The big question now is how exactly will Israel respond? Melamed said he does not think the IDF will go after Iran’s nuclear facilities or its petroleum production plants.
“The Israeli attack would be robust enough to be visually viewed across the region,” Melamed said when asked about what he thought will happen. “I would expect it to focus on military sites, some significant infrastructure. I would even think about governmental symbols, and particularly Islamic Revolutionary Guards in Iran. So, I think that there is a wide bank of targets that Israel can choose and can hit.”
By hitting significant infrastructure and symbolic sites, Melamed said Israel can inflict damage on the Mullah Regime, send a message that the next strikes could definitely be worse and further demonstrate Israel’s power in the region, hopefully acting as a means of deterrence against further escalation from Iran.
Melamed said while a direct, all-out war between the two nations can still be avoided, time may be running out for Israel and the West to figure out a way of dealing with the Mullah Regime that doesn’t end in that scenario.
Melamed said, “More than 10 years ago, I wrote an article where I was basically predicting this scenario. And the reason for all this process, first and foremost, was because of the rapprochement of the Western powers towards this regime in Iran. They were not willing to confront this regime, thinking that by kicking the can down the road the problem would disappear. It did not. It just became bigger.
As of publication, Israel had not responded to Iran’s ICBM attacks. Melamed said the Jewish High Holy Days, which start on the evening of Oct. 2, could impact the timeline, but he said a robust response is definitely coming.
Israel’s response to Iran will be ‘robust, painful’ | Avi Melamed’s insights quoted by Ryan Robertson for STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS
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