What’s next for Israel and Hezbollah after the Strikes | NTD NEWS

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What’s next for Israel and Hezbollah after the Strikes | NTD NEWS with Geopolitical Analyst Avi Melamed | NTD NEWS TODAY – September 20, 2024.

NTD spoke to Avi Melamed, a former Israeli intelligence official and former senior official on Arab affairs, about What’s next for Israel and Hezbollah after the Strikes.

Tension in the Middle East: Avi Melamed discusses the current situation in the Middle East, noting that while tensions are high, neither Israel, Hezbollah, nor Iran wants to escalate into a full-scale war.

Hezbollah as an Iranian Proxy: Melamed explains that Hezbollah is Iran’s most important regional proxy, serving Iran’s strategic interests by controlling Lebanon and maintaining influence over the Mediterranean.

Iran’s Strategic Goals: Iran aims to secure control over Hezbollah in Lebanon and use the group as a deterrent against any attacks on its strategic assets.

Risk of Escalation: Despite current reluctance for war, Mamid acknowledges that the situation could escalate, particularly given Iran’s aggressive actions and Hezbollah’s military activities.

Israel’s Long-Term Strategy: Melamed argues that Israel’s primary concern is Iran’s growing influence, which poses a significant threat to regional and global security, and must be countered comprehensively.

Western Role in Addressing Iran: The challenge of Iran’s destabilizing actions should not be Israel’s alone to handle. Melamed calls for a coordinated global approach, including military deterrence, to restrain Iran’s regime.

Iran’s Vulnerabilities: Melamed highlights internal unrest within Iran, with widespread dissatisfaction among the population, compounded by economic and social crises, which weaken the regime’s position.

Trump vs. Biden on Israel: Melamed compares the policies of former President Trump, who was strongly pro-Israel (e.g., recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital), with those of the Biden administration, which is less certain on Middle East issues.

Importance of Western Strategy: Regardless of the U.S. presidential outcome, Melamed stresses that Western powers must understand the complexities of the region to safeguard their own strategic interests.

Need for Comprehensive Understanding: Melamed concludes that a nuanced, comprehensive approach is required from the international community, addressing both the Iranian regime and the broader regional challenges to ensure long-term stability.

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Avi Melamed
Avi Melamedhttps://insidethemiddle-east.com
Avi Melamed is an expert on current affairs in the Arab & Muslim World and their impact on Israel & the Middle East. A former Israeli Intelligence Official & Senior Official on Arab Affairs, Fluent in Arabic, English, and Hebrew, he has held high-risk Government, Senior Advisory, Intelligence & Counter-Terrorist intelligence positions in Arab cities & communities - often in very sensitive times - on behalf of Israeli Government agencies. He is the Founder & CEO of Inside the Middle East | Intelligence Perspectives - an apolitical non-partisan curriculum using intelligence methodology to examine the Middle East. As an Author, Educator, Expert, and Strategic Intelligence Analyst, Avi provides Intelligence Analysis, Briefings, and Geopolitical Tours to diplomats, Israeli and foreign policymakers, global media outlets, and a wide variety of international businesses, organizations, and private clients on a range of Israel and Middle East Affairs.

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